Business | Schumpeter

A history-lover’s guide to the market panic over AI

Past technologies offer clues to what comes next

An illustration of an AI chip trying to stay balanced in a heart-shaped bubble floating above the crash site of a broken 19th century train, a broken telegraph pole, a smashed arc electricity light bulb and a broken pillar of government.
Illustration: Brett Ryder

Andrew Odlyzko, a professor of mathematics at the University of Minnesota, has a side hustle: he has become one of the world’s foremost experts on the history of speculative bubbles. Part of his time is spent at the Bank of England, where he photographs pages from thousands of handwritten ledgers which he later scours for clues about earlier episodes of excess. He hopes that generative artificial intelligence (AI) will one day take the drudgery out of the task. It is not lost on him that the latest speculative mania revolves around the technology itself.

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